Splits

Performance

Graded official picks only. A tiny sample is a start, not a track record — empty split tables stay hidden.

Graded

W–L–P

16–15–0

Units net

+0.57u

ROI

+3.3%

By sport

NFL

Picks / graded: 8 / 8
W–L–P: 4–4–0
Net: +0.32u
ROI: +7.0%
CLV avg: −0.25

CFB

Picks / graded: 11 / 11
W–L–P: 5–6–0
Net: −0.61u
ROI: −11.2%
CLV avg: +1.58

NBA

Picks / graded: 6 / 5
W–L–P: 4–1–0
Net: +1.11u
ROI: +44.3%
CLV avg: +2.12

MLB

Picks / graded: 7 / 7
W–L–P: 3–4–0
Net: −0.24u
ROI: −5.4%
CLV avg: −0.80

Scroll sideways if columns are clipped.

Slice	Picks	Graded	W–L–P	Net	ROI	CLV avg
NFL	8	8	4–4–0	+0.32u	+7.0%	−0.25
CFB	11	11	5–6–0	−0.61u	−11.2%	+1.58
NBA	6	5	4–1–0	+1.11u	+44.3%	+2.12
MLB	7	7	3–4–0	−0.24u	−5.4%	−0.80

By bet type

Spread

Picks / graded: 13 / 13
W–L–P: 6–7–0
Net: −0.33u
ROI: −5.1%
CLV avg: +0.17

Total

Picks / graded: 7 / 7
W–L–P: 6–1–0
Net: +2.80u
ROI: +70.1%
CLV avg: −0.20

ML

Picks / graded: 12 / 11
W–L–P: 4–7–0
Net: −1.90u
ROI: −29.3%
CLV avg: +2.72

Team total

Picks / graded: 0 / 0
W–L–P: 0–0–0
Net: —
ROI: —
CLV avg: —

Prop

Picks / graded: 0 / 0
W–L–P: 0–0–0
Net: —
ROI: —
CLV avg: —

Scroll sideways if columns are clipped.

Slice	Picks	Graded	W–L–P	Net	ROI	CLV avg
Spread	13	13	6–7–0	−0.33u	−5.1%	+0.17
Total	7	7	6–1–0	+2.80u	+70.1%	−0.20
ML	12	11	4–7–0	−1.90u	−29.3%	+2.72
Team total	0	0	0–0–0	—	—	—
Prop	0	0	0–0–0	—	—	—

Favorite vs underdog

FAV

Picks / graded: 8 / 7
W–L–P: 5–2–0
Net: +1.34u
ROI: +38.4%
CLV avg: +0.99

DOG

Picks / graded: 18 / 18
W–L–P: 6–12–0
Net: −3.08u
ROI: −30.8%
CLV avg: +1.56

PICKEM

Picks / graded: 0 / 0
W–L–P: 0–0–0
Net: —
ROI: —
CLV avg: —

N/A

Picks / graded: 6 / 6
W–L–P: 5–1–0
Net: +2.30u
ROI: +65.8%
CLV avg: 0.00

Scroll sideways if columns are clipped.

Slice	Picks	Graded	W–L–P	Net	ROI	CLV avg
FAV	8	7	5–2–0	+1.34u	+38.4%	+0.99
DOG	18	18	6–12–0	−3.08u	−30.8%	+1.56
PICKEM	0	0	0–0–0	—	—	—
N/A	6	6	5–1–0	+2.30u	+65.8%	0.00

Odds range

≤ −200

Picks / graded: 1 / 0
W–L–P: 0–0–0
Net: —
ROI: —
CLV avg: —

−199 to −121

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 2–0–0
Net: +0.61u
ROI: +60.8%
CLV avg: +2.48

−120 to −100

Picks / graded: 17 / 17
W–L–P: 10–7–0
Net: +2.15u
ROI: +22.6%
CLV avg: +0.29

+100 to +130

Picks / graded: 8 / 8
W–L–P: 3–5–0
Net: −1.49u
ROI: −33.1%
CLV avg: +0.21

+131 to +200

Picks / graded: 3 / 3
W–L–P: 1–2–0
Net: −0.20u
ROI: −13.3%
CLV avg: +1.88

+201+

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +5.41

Scroll sideways if columns are clipped.

Slice	Picks	Graded	W–L–P	Net	ROI	CLV avg
≤ −200	1	0	0–0–0	—	—	—
−199 to −121	2	2	2–0–0	+0.61u	+60.8%	+2.48
−120 to −100	17	17	10–7–0	+2.15u	+22.6%	+0.29
+100 to +130	8	8	3–5–0	−1.49u	−33.1%	+0.21
+131 to +200	3	3	1–2–0	−0.20u	−13.3%	+1.88
+201+	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+5.41

Primary factors

australia-travel-rust

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: —

bet-now-first-pitch

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

bryant-override

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.98u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: —

cfb-moneyline

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +2.66

cfb-total

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 1–1–0
Net: 0.00u
ROI: 0.0%
CLV avg: +0.50

coaching-scheme

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

common-opponent

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.48u
ROI: +95.2%
CLV avg: —

daysToKickoff-0

Picks / graded: 18 / 17
W–L–P: 8–9–0
Net: −0.60u
ROI: −7.1%
CLV avg: +1.55

defensive-tackling

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

divisional-under-history

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.91u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: −1.00

dual-model-agreement

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

fd-nf-unavailable

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.98u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: —

forced-override-full-unit

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.98u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: —

forced-override-half-unit

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 2–0–0
Net: +0.93u
ROI: +92.6%
CLV avg: 0.00

forced-pick-override

Picks / graded: 14 / 13
W–L–P: 7–6–0
Net: +0.41u
ROI: +6.3%
CLV avg: +1.20

friday-cfb

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.50u
ROI: +100.0%
CLV avg: −1.00

game-day-info-upgrade

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

home-altitude-discount

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

home-dog

Picks / graded: 5 / 5
W–L–P: 1–4–0
Net: −1.51u
ROI: −60.4%
CLV avg: +1.88

home-favorite

Picks / graded: 6 / 5
W–L–P: 4–1–0
Net: +1.40u
ROI: +55.9%
CLV avg: +0.99

home-field

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +89.3%
CLV avg: —

independent-media-lean

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: −1.59

injury-depleted-offense

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.50u
ROI: +100.0%
CLV avg: −1.00

injury-depleted-secondary

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.50u
ROI: +100.0%
CLV avg: −1.00

injury-opponent-key-big

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.32u
ROI: +64.5%
CLV avg: +2.85

injury-opponent-out

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.51u
ROI: +102.0%
CLV avg: +4.62

injury-questionable

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +1.00

injury-team-out

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.49u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

key-number

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

key-number-2-5

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 1–1–0
Net: −0.01u
ROI: −1.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

large-number

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

line-move-value

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.48u
ROI: +95.2%
CLV avg: —

line-shopped-best

Picks / graded: 13 / 12
W–L–P: 6–6–0
Net: −0.09u
ROI: −1.5%
CLV avg: +1.30

line-shorten-on-known-news

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

line-shortened-toward-den

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.46u
ROI: +92.6%
CLV avg: 0.00

line-steam-under

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.46u
ROI: +92.6%
CLV avg: 0.00

line-value-vs-fair

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 1–1–0
Net: −0.05u
ROI: −5.4%
CLV avg: —

matchup-total

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.48u
ROI: +95.2%
CLV avg: —

mlb-postseason

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.80u
ROI: +160.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

model-favorite-market-dog

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.46u
ROI: +92.6%
CLV avg: 0.00

model-margin-vs-market

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

model-total

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.91u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: −1.00

model-total-vs-market

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: —

model-vs-market-ml

Picks / graded: 3 / 3
W–L–P: 1–2–0
Net: −0.02u
ROI: −1.0%
CLV avg: −1.59

moneyline-dog

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 0–2–0
Net: −1.00u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +4.19

nacua-questionable

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: —

nba-moneyline

Picks / graded: 3 / 2
W–L–P: 2–0–0
Net: +0.61u
ROI: +60.8%
CLV avg: +2.48

nba-opening-night

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.51u
ROI: +102.0%
CLV avg: +4.62

nba-opening-week

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 1–1–0
Net: −0.01u
ROI: −1.0%
CLV avg: +0.50

nf-sm-both-dog

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

nfl-spread

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

no-second-model

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.50u
ROI: +100.0%
CLV avg: −1.00

offense-form

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

ol-pass-rush

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.91u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: −1.00

opponent-bullpen-game

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.80u
ROI: +160.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

opponent-injuries

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

outlier-price-espnbet

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +2.98

over

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.50u
ROI: +100.0%
CLV avg: −1.00

pace-clock-chew

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: —

pickem

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

pinn-clears-unabated-does-not

Picks / graded: 3 / 3
W–L–P: 1–2–0
Net: −0.68u
ROI: −45.2%
CLV avg: +1.62

pinn-clears-unabated-near

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +2.66

pinn-fair-ev-over-threshold

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.49u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

pinn-fair-price-below-threshold

Picks / graded: 3 / 3
W–L–P: 2–1–0
Net: +0.51u
ROI: +34.0%
CLV avg: +1.54

pinn-least-negative-ev

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

pinn-positive-ev-below-threshold

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.80u
ROI: +160.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

pinn-positive-unabated-negative

Picks / graded: 1 / 0
W–L–P: 0–0–0
Net: —
ROI: —
CLV avg: —

pinn-una-dual-ev-clear

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 0–2–0
Net: −1.00u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +4.19

pinn-una-least-negative-ev

Picks / graded: 3 / 3
W–L–P: 2–1–0
Net: +0.49u
ROI: +32.7%
CLV avg: −1.00

pitching-mismatch

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −1.00u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

playoff-alcs-g3

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

playoff-g3

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

plus-money-dog

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 0–2–0
Net: −1.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: −1.59

plus-money-outlier-caesars

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.50u
ROI: +100.0%
CLV avg: −1.00

price-vs-runline

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.48u
ROI: +95.2%
CLV avg: —

public-on-dog

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +89.3%
CLV avg: —

public-on-favorite

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

qb-edge

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

qb-injury

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +2.00

qb-injury-return

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.91u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: −1.00

reduced-stake-sp-variance

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

rest-advantage-off-bye

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

road-dog

Picks / graded: 6 / 6
W–L–P: 2–4–0
Net: −1.01u
ROI: −33.8%
CLV avg: +2.81

run-line

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.80u
ROI: +160.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

same-day-prioritize

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

saturday-cfb

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 0–2–0
Net: −1.00u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +4.19

second-official-same-day

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.49u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: —

series-tied-1-1

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

short-week

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.48u
ROI: +95.2%
CLV avg: —

single-source-sm

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.98u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: —

sm-contradicts

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 2–0–0
Net: +1.00u
ROI: +100.0%
CLV avg: +2.31

sm-edge-over-8pp-unreliable

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.51u
ROI: +102.0%
CLV avg: +4.62

sm-margin-supports

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +1.00

sm-margin-vs-market

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.46u
ROI: +92.6%
CLV avg: 0.00

sm-ratings-stale-roster-change

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.49u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

sm-supporting

Picks / graded: 3 / 3
W–L–P: 1–2–0
Net: −0.20u
ROI: −13.3%
CLV avg: 0.00

soft-book-outlier

Picks / graded: 9 / 8
W–L–P: 4–4–0
Net: −0.40u
ROI: −10.0%
CLV avg: +1.20

soft-book-stale-vs-pinnacle

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +5.41

spread-cushion

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

starters-confirmed

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

starting-pitcher

Picks / graded: 2 / 2
W–L–P: 1–1–0
Net: −0.52u
ROI: −34.9%
CLV avg: —

steam-direction-agrees

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +2.00

sunday-nfl

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: 0.00

talent-gap

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +89.3%
CLV avg: —

tba-starters

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.98u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: —

team-quality-vs-sp-narrative

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: −1.59

thin-price

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: —

tnf

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.49u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: —

total-steam-under

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: —

total-under

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.50u
ROI: +100.0%
CLV avg: −1.00

unabated-check

Picks / graded: 6 / 5
W–L–P: 2–3–0
Net: −0.89u
ROI: −35.7%
CLV avg: +1.93

unabated-clears-pinn-does-not

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.29u
ROI: +57.1%
CLV avg: +2.12

unc-receiver-attrition

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.45u
ROI: +89.3%
CLV avg: —

under

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 0–1–0
Net: −0.50u
ROI: −100.0%
CLV avg: +2.00

weather

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.46u
ROI: +92.6%
CLV avg: 0.00

weather-wind

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.91u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: −1.00

wind-rain

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.46u
ROI: +92.6%
CLV avg: 0.00

winner-take-all-g3

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.98u
ROI: +98.0%
CLV avg: —

Scroll sideways if columns are clipped.

Slice	Picks	Graded	W–L–P	Net	ROI	CLV avg
australia-travel-rust	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+90.9%	—
bet-now-first-pitch	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
bryant-override	1	1	1–0–0	+0.98u	+98.0%	—
cfb-moneyline	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+2.66
cfb-total	2	2	1–1–0	0.00u	0.0%	+0.50
coaching-scheme	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
common-opponent	1	1	1–0–0	+0.48u	+95.2%	—
daysToKickoff-0	18	17	8–9–0	−0.60u	−7.1%	+1.55
defensive-tackling	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
divisional-under-history	1	1	1–0–0	+0.91u	+90.9%	−1.00
dual-model-agreement	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
fd-nf-unavailable	1	1	1–0–0	+0.98u	+98.0%	—
forced-override-full-unit	1	1	1–0–0	+0.98u	+98.0%	—
forced-override-half-unit	2	2	2–0–0	+0.93u	+92.6%	0.00
forced-pick-override	14	13	7–6–0	+0.41u	+6.3%	+1.20
friday-cfb	1	1	1–0–0	+0.50u	+100.0%	−1.00
game-day-info-upgrade	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
home-altitude-discount	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
home-dog	5	5	1–4–0	−1.51u	−60.4%	+1.88
home-favorite	6	5	4–1–0	+1.40u	+55.9%	+0.99
home-field	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+89.3%	—
independent-media-lean	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	−1.59
injury-depleted-offense	1	1	1–0–0	+0.50u	+100.0%	−1.00
injury-depleted-secondary	1	1	1–0–0	+0.50u	+100.0%	−1.00
injury-opponent-key-big	1	1	1–0–0	+0.32u	+64.5%	+2.85
injury-opponent-out	1	1	1–0–0	+0.51u	+102.0%	+4.62
injury-questionable	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+1.00
injury-team-out	1	1	1–0–0	+0.49u	+98.0%	0.00
key-number	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
key-number-2-5	2	2	1–1–0	−0.01u	−1.0%	0.00
large-number	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
line-move-value	1	1	1–0–0	+0.48u	+95.2%	—
line-shopped-best	13	12	6–6–0	−0.09u	−1.5%	+1.30
line-shorten-on-known-news	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
line-shortened-toward-den	1	1	1–0–0	+0.46u	+92.6%	0.00
line-steam-under	1	1	1–0–0	+0.46u	+92.6%	0.00
line-value-vs-fair	2	2	1–1–0	−0.05u	−5.4%	—
matchup-total	1	1	1–0–0	+0.48u	+95.2%	—
mlb-postseason	1	1	1–0–0	+0.80u	+160.0%	0.00
model-favorite-market-dog	1	1	1–0–0	+0.46u	+92.6%	0.00
model-margin-vs-market	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
model-total	1	1	1–0–0	+0.91u	+90.9%	−1.00
model-total-vs-market	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+90.9%	—
model-vs-market-ml	3	3	1–2–0	−0.02u	−1.0%	−1.59
moneyline-dog	2	2	0–2–0	−1.00u	−100.0%	+4.19
nacua-questionable	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+90.9%	—
nba-moneyline	3	2	2–0–0	+0.61u	+60.8%	+2.48
nba-opening-night	1	1	1–0–0	+0.51u	+102.0%	+4.62
nba-opening-week	2	2	1–1–0	−0.01u	−1.0%	+0.50
nf-sm-both-dog	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
nfl-spread	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	0.00
no-second-model	1	1	1–0–0	+0.50u	+100.0%	−1.00
offense-form	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
ol-pass-rush	1	1	1–0–0	+0.91u	+90.9%	−1.00
opponent-bullpen-game	1	1	1–0–0	+0.80u	+160.0%	0.00
opponent-injuries	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	0.00
outlier-price-espnbet	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+2.98
over	1	1	1–0–0	+0.50u	+100.0%	−1.00
pace-clock-chew	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+90.9%	—
pickem	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
pinn-clears-unabated-does-not	3	3	1–2–0	−0.68u	−45.2%	+1.62
pinn-clears-unabated-near	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+2.66
pinn-fair-ev-over-threshold	1	1	1–0–0	+0.49u	+98.0%	0.00
pinn-fair-price-below-threshold	3	3	2–1–0	+0.51u	+34.0%	+1.54
pinn-least-negative-ev	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	0.00
pinn-positive-ev-below-threshold	1	1	1–0–0	+0.80u	+160.0%	0.00
pinn-positive-unabated-negative	1	0	0–0–0	—	—	—
pinn-una-dual-ev-clear	2	2	0–2–0	−1.00u	−100.0%	+4.19
pinn-una-least-negative-ev	3	3	2–1–0	+0.49u	+32.7%	−1.00
pitching-mismatch	1	1	0–1–0	−1.00u	−100.0%	—
playoff-alcs-g3	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
playoff-g3	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
plus-money-dog	2	2	0–2–0	−1.50u	−100.0%	−1.59
plus-money-outlier-caesars	1	1	1–0–0	+0.50u	+100.0%	−1.00
price-vs-runline	1	1	1–0–0	+0.48u	+95.2%	—
public-on-dog	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+89.3%	—
public-on-favorite	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
qb-edge	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
qb-injury	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+2.00
qb-injury-return	1	1	1–0–0	+0.91u	+90.9%	−1.00
reduced-stake-sp-variance	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
rest-advantage-off-bye	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	0.00
road-dog	6	6	2–4–0	−1.01u	−33.8%	+2.81
run-line	1	1	1–0–0	+0.80u	+160.0%	0.00
same-day-prioritize	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
saturday-cfb	2	2	0–2–0	−1.00u	−100.0%	+4.19
second-official-same-day	1	1	1–0–0	+0.49u	+98.0%	—
series-tied-1-1	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
short-week	1	1	1–0–0	+0.48u	+95.2%	—
single-source-sm	1	1	1–0–0	+0.98u	+98.0%	—
sm-contradicts	2	2	2–0–0	+1.00u	+100.0%	+2.31
sm-edge-over-8pp-unreliable	1	1	1–0–0	+0.51u	+102.0%	+4.62
sm-margin-supports	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+1.00
sm-margin-vs-market	1	1	1–0–0	+0.46u	+92.6%	0.00
sm-ratings-stale-roster-change	1	1	1–0–0	+0.49u	+98.0%	0.00
sm-supporting	3	3	1–2–0	−0.20u	−13.3%	0.00
soft-book-outlier	9	8	4–4–0	−0.40u	−10.0%	+1.20
soft-book-stale-vs-pinnacle	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+5.41
spread-cushion	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
starters-confirmed	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
starting-pitcher	2	2	1–1–0	−0.52u	−34.9%	—
steam-direction-agrees	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+2.00
sunday-nfl	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	0.00
talent-gap	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+89.3%	—
tba-starters	1	1	1–0–0	+0.98u	+98.0%	—
team-quality-vs-sp-narrative	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	−1.59
thin-price	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	—
tnf	1	1	1–0–0	+0.49u	+98.0%	—
total-steam-under	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+90.9%	—
total-under	1	1	1–0–0	+0.50u	+100.0%	−1.00
unabated-check	6	5	2–3–0	−0.89u	−35.7%	+1.93
unabated-clears-pinn-does-not	1	1	1–0–0	+0.29u	+57.1%	+2.12
unc-receiver-attrition	1	1	1–0–0	+0.45u	+89.3%	—
under	1	1	0–1–0	−0.50u	−100.0%	+2.00
weather	1	1	1–0–0	+0.46u	+92.6%	0.00
weather-wind	1	1	1–0–0	+0.91u	+90.9%	−1.00
wind-rain	1	1	1–0–0	+0.46u	+92.6%	0.00
winner-take-all-g3	1	1	1–0–0	+0.98u	+98.0%	—

Public ticket buckets

Tickets < 60% one side

Picks / graded: 1 / 1
W–L–P: 1–0–0
Net: +0.91u
ROI: +90.9%
CLV avg: −1.00

Tickets 60–69%

Picks / graded: 0 / 0
W–L–P: 0–0–0
Net: —
ROI: —
CLV avg: —

Tickets 70–79%

Picks / graded: 0 / 0
W–L–P: 0–0–0
Net: —
ROI: —
CLV avg: —

Tickets 80%+

Picks / graded: 0 / 0
W–L–P: 0–0–0
Net: —
ROI: —
CLV avg: —

Scroll sideways if columns are clipped.

Slice	Picks	Graded	W–L–P	Net	ROI	CLV avg
Tickets < 60% one side	1	1	1–0–0	+0.91u	+90.9%	−1.00
Tickets 60–69%	0	0	0–0–0	—	—	—
Tickets 70–79%	0	0	0–0–0	—	—	—
Tickets 80%+	0	0	0–0–0	—	—	—

Timing

Bet timing

Issued price versus later marks and the close, grouped by sport, market, and days before kickoff.

Early (1+ days out): n=0 · helped 0 · hurt 0
Wait / same-day: n=18 · helped 8 · hurt 4